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Another incredibly conservative article in NZ media based on research that only looks at one aspect instead of the combination of many positive feedbacks – one, looking at the original article attracts comments all from deniers.
It
doesn’t matter what any of these brainless nincimpoops thinks
because reality trumps fantasy.
Every
new report is dire but never catches up with the real situation.
'False sense of security': Global warming looks set to accelerate, study finds
11
May, 2017
The
pace of global warming is likely to quicken in coming years as
natural processes in the Pacific switch from serving as a brake to an
accelerator, placing the planet on course to exceed a landmark level
within a decade, according to a new paper.
The
Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), a cycle that lasts 10-30
years and affects how much heat is absorbed in the
Pacific, started
to switch to its positive or "warm" phase since 2014.
During positive periods, the central ocean is relatively warm
compared with surface waters at higher latitudes.
The
paper by Melbourne University researchers, published
this week in Geophysical Research Letters,
argues the preceding negative phase - lasting from 2000-2014 -
may have provided a "temporary buffer" for surface
temperature increases and "cushioned the impacts of
global warming on extreme events, such as heatwaves".
SUPPLIED
This
chart shows how model projections indicate when the 1.5-degree mark
will be reached
"A
turnaround of the IPO to its positive phase could initiate a period
of accelerated warming over the next one or two decades," Ben
Henley and Andrew King state. "This would likely lead to the
Paris target of 1.5 degrees (warming since pre-industrial times)
being surpassed within the next decade."
"The
negative phase might have lulled us into a false sense of
security - the planet appears temporarily to not be warming as
fast," Henley, an associate of the ARC Centre of
Excellence for Climate System Science, told Fairfax Media.
Almost
200 nations signed up to the Paris accord in late 2015, agreeing to
keep temperature rises between 1.5 to 2 degrees to prevent dangerous
climate change. President Donald Trump this week postponed a meeting
of advisers that was expected to decide whether the US will exit the
climate deal.
The
IPO is less well known and studied than the El Nino Southern
Oscillation, a five to seven year cycle that also has a planet-wide
influence on the weather. A strong
El Nino in 2015-2016 helped boost background warming,
making 2015 and then 2016 the hottest years on record.
Depending
on the data used, global surface temperatures have warmed more than a
degree compared with the baseline readings for 1850-1900.
The
pace of global warming is likely to quicken in coming years as
natural processes in the Pacific switch from serving as a brake to an
accelerator, placing the planet on course to exceed a landmark level
within a decade, according to a new paper.
The
Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), a cycle that lasts 10-30
years and affects how much heat is absorbed in the
Pacific, started
to switch to its positive or "warm" phase since 2014.
During positive periods, the central ocean is relatively warm
compared with surface waters at higher latitudes.
The
paper by Melbourne University researchers, published
this week in Geophysical Research Letters,
argues the preceding negative phase - lasting from 2000-2014 -
may have provided a "temporary buffer" for surface
temperature increases and "cushioned the impacts of
global warming on extreme events, such as heatwaves".
"A
turnaround of the IPO to its positive phase could initiate a period
of accelerated warming over the next one or two decades," Ben
Henley and Andrew King state. "This would likely lead to the
Paris target of 1.5 degrees (warming since pre-industrial times)
being surpassed within the next decade."
"The
negative phase might have lulled us into a false sense of
security - the planet appears temporarily to not be warming as
fast," Henley, an associate of the ARC Centre of
Excellence for Climate System Science, told Fairfax Media.
Almost
200 nations signed up to the Paris accord in late 2015, agreeing to
keep temperature rises between 1.5 to 2 degrees to prevent dangerous
climate change. President Donald Trump this week postponed a meeting
of advisers that was expected to decide whether the US will exit the
climate deal.
The
IPO is less well known and studied than the El Nino Southern
Oscillation, a five to seven year cycle that also has a planet-wide
influence on the weather. A strong
El Nino in 2015-2016 helped boost background warming,
making 2015 and then 2016 the hottest years on record.
Depending
on the data used, global surface temperatures have warmed more than a
degree compared with the baseline readings for 1850-1900.
The
pace of global warming is likely to quicken in coming years as
natural processes in the Pacific switch from serving as a brake to an
accelerator, placing the planet on course to exceed a landmark level
within a decade, according to a new paper.
The
Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), a cycle that lasts 10-30
years and affects how much heat is absorbed in the
Pacific, started
to switch to its positive or "warm" phase since 2014.
During positive periods, the central ocean is relatively warm
compared with surface waters at higher latitudes.
The
paper by Melbourne University researchers, published
this week in Geophysical Research Letters,
argues the preceding negative phase - lasting from 2000-2014 -
may have provided a "temporary buffer" for surface
temperature increases and "cushioned the impacts of
global warming on extreme events, such as heatwaves".
"A
turnaround of the IPO to its positive phase could initiate a period
of accelerated warming over the next one or two decades," Ben
Henley and Andrew King state. "This would likely lead to the
Paris target of 1.5 degrees (warming since pre-industrial times)
being surpassed within the next decade."
"The
negative phase might have lulled us into a false sense of
security - the planet appears temporarily to not be warming as
fast," Henley, an associate of the ARC Centre of
Excellence for Climate System Science, told Fairfax Media.
Almost
200 nations signed up to the Paris accord in late 2015, agreeing to
keep temperature rises between 1.5 to 2 degrees to prevent dangerous
climate change. President Donald Trump this week postponed a meeting
of advisers that was expected to decide whether the US will exit the
climate deal.
The
IPO is less well known and studied than the El Nino Southern
Oscillation, a five to seven year cycle that also has a planet-wide
influence on the weather. A strong
El Nino in 2015-2016 helped boost background warming,
making 2015 and then 2016 the hottest years on record.
Depending
on the data used, global surface temperatures have warmed more than a
degree compared with the baseline readings for 1850-1900.
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